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Quantile regression estimates of confidence intervals for WASDE price forecasts

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - In: Journal of agricultural and resource economics : JARE ; … 35 (2010) 3, pp. 545-567

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009231481

When do the USDA forecasters make mistakes?

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Karali, Berna; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Applied economics 45 (2013) 34/36, pp. 5086-5103

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226416

Do markets correct for smoothing in USDA crop production forecasts? : evidence from private analysts and futures prices

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Karali, Berna; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Applied economic perspectives and policy 39 (2017) 4, pp. 559-583

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012008777

Can private forecasters beat the USDA? : analysis of relative accuracy of crop acreage and production forecasts

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; Karali, Berna; Irwin, Scott H. - In: Journal of agricultural and applied economics : JAEE 52 (2020) 4, pp. 545-561

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012430384

Evaluation of USDA interval forecasts of corn and soybean prices

Isengildina, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - In: American journal of agricultural economics 86 (2004) 4, pp. 990-1004

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002388523

Are revisions to USDA crop production forecasts smoothed?

Isengildina, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - In: American journal of agricultural economics 88 (2006) 4, pp. 1091-1104

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003389763

Are Revisions to USDA Crop Production Forecasts Smoothed?

Isengildina Massa, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - 2010

This article uses Nordhaus' framework to determine the efficiency of the revision process for USDA corn and soybean production forecasts over the 1970/1971 through 2004/2005 marketing years. Positive autocorrelation and consistency of directional changes in forecast revisions suggest these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014055303

Evaluation of Usda Interval Forecasts of Corn and Soybean Prices

Isengildina Massa, Olga; Irwin, Scott H.; Good, Darrel L. - 2010

USDA World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) price forecasts are published as an interval, but are typically analyzed as point estimates. Thus, all information about uncertainty imbedded in the forecast is ignored. The purpose of this article is to evaluate the accuracy of WASDE...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014069538

A performance comparison of a technical trading system with ARIMA models for soybean complex prices

Irwin, Scott H.; Zulauf, Carl R.; Gerlow, Mary E.; … - In: Advances in investment analysis and portfolio … 4 (1997), pp. 193-203

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001229789

Improving the relevance of research on price forecasting and marketing strategies

Brorsen, Wade - In: Agricultural and resource economics review : ARER 25 (1996) 1, pp. 68-75

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001217523