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marked by swings in credit growth, asset prices, terms of access to external funding, and other financial developments. A …
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Financial bubbles are subject to debate and controversy. However, they are not well understood and are hardly ever characterised specifically, especially ex ante. We define a bubble as a period of unsustainable growth, when the price of an asset increases ever more quickly, in a series of...
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The subprime crisis was quite damaging for hedge funds. Using the local projection method (Jordà 2004, 2005, 2009), we forecast the dynamic responses of the betas of hedge fund strategies to macroeconomic and financial shocks-especially volatility and illiquidity shocks-over the subprime crisis...
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A growing body of literature has highlighted two important caveats to the credit-to-GDP gap as advocated by the Bank … for International Settlements (BIS). The first relates to the approach used to normalise credit (i.e., dividing nominal … credit by GDP). In this regard, critics have argued that a normalised measure of credit runs the risk of being affected by …
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proposed by Hasenzagl et al. (2018). We distinguish between price variables such as credit spreads and stock variables such as …
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