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price volatility. To address this issue, we find a phenomenon, "momentum of jumps" (MoJ), that the predictive ability of the … jump component is persistent when forecasting the oil futures market volatility. Specifically, we propose a strategy that … according to their recent past forecasting performance. The volatility data are based on the intraday prices of West Texas …
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heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 … indicate that none of our volatility models can uniformly outperform other models across all six different loss functions … outperformed by other models, with long memory GARCH-type models coming out second best. …
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