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The new impairment reporting standards require banks to move from incurred loss models to sophisticated macroeconomic based expected credit loss models for current impairment estimation. While the impairments estimation is mainly focused on business as usual macroeconomic projections there is a...
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The capturing of tail events, especially those that incur severe loss at rare chance, is one of the important objectives for modern risk analysis. However past behavior in financial data is not necessarily a correct reflection of the possible scenarios in the future. The economic turmoils in the...
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With the introduction of expected credit loss based impairment methodology banks stress testing programs need to include forecasts of stressed impairment losses as an important component in the firmwide stress testing programs. The forecasts of stressed impairment losses are comprised of...
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In this paper we provide an overview of the credit model approaches for lifetime impairment models. The main focus is on the models for credit risk term-structures which are a particularly important component that banks are currently struggling with. However, we also discuss briefly the...
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