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MPC voting, forecasting and inflation

Charemza, Wojciech; Ladley, Dan - 2012

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009670637

Vote self-prediction hardly predicts who will vote, and is (misleadingly) unbiased

Rogers, Todd; Aida, Masa - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736903

The wisdom of crowds : applying Condorcet's jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections

Murr, Andreas E. - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 916-929

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474728

Explaining variance in the accuracy of prediction markets

Strijbis, Oliver; Arnesen, Sveinung - In: International journal of forecasting 35 (2019) 1, pp. 408-419

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300662

How they lost the presidency

Walker, David - In: Applied economics 50 (2018) 38, pp. 4113-4121

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060709

Nonparametric predictive reliability of series of voting systems

Aboalkhair, Ahmad M.; Coolen, Frank P. A.; MacPhee, Ian M. - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 226 (2013) 1, pp. 77-84

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009715681

The 2016 Pollyvote Popular Vote Forecast : A Preliminary Analysis

Graefe, Andreas - 2016

We assess how the PollyVote and its components performed in this election compared to the previous six (1992 to 2012). While always predicting that Hillary Clinton would win the popular vote, across the 100 days leading to the election on average the PollyVote overshot the mark by 1.9 percentage...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012977521

Biased forecasts to affect voting decisions? : the Brexit case

Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2019

forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and influence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990008

Biased forecasts to affect voting decisions? : the Brexit case

Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2019

forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and in uence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984037

Forecasting based on very small samples and additional non-sample information

Brännäs, Kurt; Hellström, Jörgen - 1998

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000993162