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A dynamic, stochastic, Bayesian, provincial input-output model for the South African economy

Crookes, Douglas J. - In: South African journal of economic and management sciences 27 (2024) 1, pp. 1-10

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015045839

Estimation bias and feasible conditional forecasts from the first-order moving average model

Bao, Yong; Zhang, Ru - In: Journal of time series econometrics 6 (2014) 1, pp. 63-80

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225248

Halbert White jr. Memorial JFEC Lecture : pitfalls and possibilities in predictive regression

Phillips, Peter C. B. - In: Journal of financial econometrics : official journal of … 13 (2015) 3, pp. 521-555

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339279

On the accuracy of estimators based on a binary classifier

Scholtus, Sander; Delden, Arnout van - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174823

A note on the hidden risk of inflation

El-Shagi, Makram; Giesen, Sebastian - In: Journal of economic policy reform 17 (2014) 1, pp. 91-97

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010358405

Penalized adaptive method in forecasting with large information set and structure change

Li, Xinjue; Zbonakova, Lenka; Härdle, Wolfgang - 2017

In the present paper we propose a new method, the Penalized Adaptive Method (PAM), for a data driven detection of structure changes in sparse linear models. The method is able to allocate the longest homogeneous intervals over the data sample and simultaneously choose the most proper variables...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011714497

Calculating government consumption multipliers in New Zealand using an estimated DSGE model

Binning, Andrew - 2024

Fiscal multipliers provide a way of quantifying the GDP gain for a given (discretionary) fiscal policy intervention. I compute government consumption multipliers for New Zealand, in normal times and when monetary policy is constrained at the effective lower bound, using an estimated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014533165

Forecast bias and MSFE encompassing

Marcellino, Massimiliano - In: Oxford bulletin of economics and statistics 62 (2000) 4, pp. 533-542

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001522147

Estimating the implied probabilities in the tennis betting market : a new normalization procedure : comment

Berkowitz, Jason P.; Depken, Craig A.; Gandar, John M. - In: International journal of sport finance 18 (2023) 1, pp. 54-58

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014233605

Bias in Memory Predicts Bias in Estimation of Future Task Duration

Roy, Michael M. - 2012

did, with these biased memories causing a corresponding bias in prediction. Two experi- ments were performed to determine … whether or not a systematic bias in memory could explain a similar system- atic bias in prediction. In support, it was found … that (1) the tendency to underestimate future duration disappears when the task is novel, (2) there is similar bias in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013112931