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Two new predictive screening tools that are based on analyzing records of over one-million people who experienced homelessness have been placed in the public domain by the Economic Roundtable. The two groups targeted by these tools are low-wage workers who have just lost their jobs and youth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012888788
policy mix of unemployment insurance agencies. We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of … re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014338662
the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438589
the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014478868
the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014195886
prediction. This paper presents an application where unemployment job search indicators for the G7 countries are based on Google … estimate our unemployment indicator which is considered a latent common trend. Finally the predictive performance of our … indicators is assessed by an automatic stochastic specification with respect to unemployment levels and other key labour market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947707
predict the US monthly unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that … augmented with the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the unemployment rate for different out-of-sample intervals … confirmed when employing different keywords. Based on our results for the unemployment rate, we believe that there will be an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013087807
the US unemployment rate. We perform a deep out-of-sample forecasting comparison analyzing many models that adopt both our … the GI outperform the traditional ones in predicting the monthly unemployment rate, even in most state-level forecasts and … ; US Unemployment ; Time Series Models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008702857
The paper deals with a summary of findings in the area of tax forecasts. It describes the basic methodology for predicting tax revenues, both in terms of the macroeconomic approach and from a microeconomic perspective. The microeconomic approach used microsimulation methods with methods based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460359
In this paper, we disentangle tax revenue forecast errors into influences stemming from wrong macroeconomic assumptions and false predictions of the elasticities linking the tax base to its corresponding tax type. Across six tax types and the overall tax sum for Germany, we find a heterogeneous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012547029