Mortality projections are major concerns for public policy, social security and private insurance. This paper implements a Bayesian log-bilinear Poisson regression model to forecast mortality. Computations are carried out using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods in which the degree of smoothing is...

Accurate estimation of different risk measures for financial portfolios is of utmost importance equally for financial institutions as well as regulators, however, many existing models fail to incorporate any high dimensional dependence structures adequately. To overcome this problem and capture...

The internal-ratings based Basel II approach increases the need for the development of more realistic default probability models. In this paper we follow the approach taken in McNeil and Wendin (2006) by constructing generalized linear mixed models for estimating default probabilities from...