Showing 1 - 10 of 2,221
heteroscedasticity (GARCH)-type models to forecast oil price volatility over the time periods from January 02, 1875 to December 31, 1895 … outperformed by other models, with long memory GARCH-type models coming out second best. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010488966
, including Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) and Stochastic Volatility (SV) models, to determine …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015190309
of ARCH effect has been tried to predict with conditional variance models such as ARCH (1), ARCH (2), ARCH (3), GARCH (1 …,1), GARCH (1,2), GARCH (1,3), GARCH (2,1), GARCH (2,2), EGARCH (1,1) and EGARCH (1,2). While the obtained findings indicate that … the best model is in the direction of GARCH (1,1) according to Akaike info criterion, it was found that GARCH (1,1) model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
, such as GARCH models, are investigated, to determine if they are more appropriate for predicting future return volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009767118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010191413
We study the asymptotic properties of the Adaptive LASSO (adaLASSO) in sparse, high-dimensional, linear time-series models. We assume that both the number of covariates in the model and the number of candidate variables can increase with the sample size (polynomially or geometrically). In other...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010505038
validate this result. The last twenty eight days out-of-sample forecast adjudged Power-GARCH (1, 1, 1) in student's t error …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489480
Volatility (SV) and Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) models which are both extended to include … outperforms the GARCH model. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011326944
for main indices from stock exchanges was conducted. The VaR forecasts from GARCH(1,1), GARCH-t(1,1), GARCH-st(1,1), QML-GARCH … volatility trend. However, GARCH-st (1,1) and QML-GARCH(1,1) were found to be the most robust models in the different volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967246
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304