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We find that firms' global sourcing strategy (GSS) strongly predicts their future stock returns. Using a transaction-level imports dataset for the period 2008 to 2019, we measure US public firms' five GSS choices: the extent of global sourcing; supplier relationship strength; supplier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833435
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The multi-section transport conveyor model based on the neural network for predicting the output flow parameters is considered. The expediency of using sequential and batch modes of training of a neural network in a model of a multi-section transport conveyor has been investigated. The quality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083636
In this article, the problem of constructing models of multi-section conveyor-type transport systems using a neural network is considered. The analysis of models of long-distance multi-section transport systems, which are used to design control systems of the flow parameters from the point of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014030724
This study evaluates the in-sample and out-of-sample RMB exchange rate forecasting with a predictor of CNH-CNY pricing differential. Despite significant evidence of in-sample fit of conditional models at short horizons, we find that RMB exchange rate forecasts based on CNH-CNY spreads do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989017
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Measuring bias is important as it helps identify flaws in quantitative forecasting methods or judgmental forecasts. It can, therefore, potentially help improve forecasts. Despite this, bias tends to be under represented in the literature: many studies focus solely on measuring accuracy. Methods...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013314570
Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes, but the literature on import forecasting is still in its infancy. We introduce the first leading indicator especially constructed for total import growth, the so-called Import Climate. It builds on the idea that the import demand of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012914684
Globalization has led to huge increases in import volumes, but the literature on import forecasting is still in its infancy. We introduce the first leading indicator especially constructed for total import growth, the so-called Import Climate. It builds on the idea that the import demand of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011862823
We estimate two new equations for Canadian non-commodity exports (NCX) that incorporate three important changes relative to the current equation used at the Bank of Canada. First, we develop two new foreign activity measures (FAMs), which add new components to the FAM currently used at the Bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011586555