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's information set for the myopic stock-bond portfolio. In-sample I find that the best forecast of the volatility and correlation is … metrics: volatility, Sharpe ratio, certainty-equivalent return, turnover and opportunity cost. For minimum-variance portfolios … formed using analyst forecasts, although the volatility of the portfolios increase, the Sharpe ratios substantially increase …
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frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information … content of realized volatility measures extracted from high-frequency data. For this purpose, we introduce asymptotically … exact volatility measurement equations in state space form and propose a Bayesian estimation approach. Our highly efficient …
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Pastor and Stambaugh (2012) demonstrate that from a forward-looking perspective, stocks are more volatile in the long run than they are in the short run. We investigate how the economic constraint of non-negative equity premia aspects predictive variance. When investors expect non-negative...
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