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-dimensional panel data with grouped factor structures. The proposed method attempts to capture the level of similarity of each of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013004036
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956589
This appendix extends simulation and empirical results reported in Mancini and Trojani (2010). It discusses the choice of the robustness tuning constants; describes the unconditional, independence and conditional coverage tests for VaR forecast evaluation; provides additional Monte Carlo...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138328
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199463
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932215
Cross institutional forecast evaluations may be severely distorted by the fact that forecasts are made at different points in time, and thus with different amount of information. This paper proposes a method to account for these differences. The method computes the timing effect and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011535966
In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790688
This paper develops new model selection methods for forecasting panel data using a set of least squares (LS) vector …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926591
We use a dynamic panel Tobit model with heteroskedasticity to generate point, set, and density forecasts for a large … and residential real estate loans, comparing various versions of the panel Tobit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846192
This paper promotes the use of panel data in nowcasting. We shift the existing focus of the literature, which has … propose a mixed-frequency panel VAR model and a bias-corrected least squares (BCLS) estimator which attenuates the bias … inherent to fixed effects dynamic panel settings. We demonstrate how existing panel model selection and combination methods can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864837