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Assessing income convergence with a long-run forecasting approach : some new results

Lopes, Artur C. B. da Silva - In: Review of income and wealth 71 (2025) 1, pp. 1-18

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015168642

Inside the IMF "mea culpa" : a panel analysis on growth forecast errors and Keynesian multipliers in Europe

Brancaccio, Emiliano; De Cristofaro, Fabiana - In: PSL quarterly review 73 (2020) 294, pp. 225-239

The tests carried out by Blanchard and Leigh (2013; IMF, 2012) and Fátas and Summers (2018) are extended here into a panel framework in order to assess the empirical basis of the so-called IMF "mea culpa" regarding the underestimation of Keynesian multipliers during the euro area crisis. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012435598

Growth Forecast Errors and Government Investment and Consumption Multipliers

Jovanovic, Branimir - 2015

investment multiplier is likely to be much higher than what has been assumed by the policy makers and much higher that the … consumption multiplier. This points out that the consolidation should be accompanied by increased public investment …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034547

Fiscal multipliers revisited

Ikonen, Pasi; Saarenheimo, Tuomas; Virén, Matti E. E. - In: Bulletin / Bank of Finland 87 (2013) 4, pp. 59-64

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010203213

Fiscal policy and growth forecasts in the EU : are official forecasters still misestimating fiscal multipliers?

Cronin, David; McQuinn, Kieran - 2020

the European Commission's Spring Forecasts, we show that multiplier estimates in the EU have been overestimated in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012307864

Forecasting the price level, income distribution, and economic growth

Weintraub, Sidney - 1959

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000594582

Neural network analysis in forecasting the Malaysian GDP

Nur Azura Sanusi; Adzie Faraha Moosin; Suhal Kusairi - In: Journal of Asian finance, economics and business : JAFEB 7 (2020) 12, pp. 109-114

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012671989

How Accurate are Private Sector Forecasts? Cross-Country Evidence from Consensus Forecasts of Output Growth

2021

This paper evaluates the performance of Consensus Forecasts of GDP growth for industrialized and developing countries from 1989 to 1998. The questions addressed are (1) How do forecast errors differ across industrialized and developing countries? (2) How well do forecasters predict recessions?...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212035

Forecasting New Zealand's real GDP

Schiff, Aaron F.; Phillips, Peter C. B. - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001513379

Forecasting New Zealand's real GDP

Schiff, Aaron F.; Phillips, Peter C. B. - 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001520966