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Probabilistic Forecasting using Stochastic Diffusion Models, with Applications to Cohort Processes of Marriage and Fertility

Myrskylä, Mikko; Goldstein, Joshua R. - 2010

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003936965

Annuity market imperfections

Sanders, Lisanne - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009390450

Improving the marriage of modeling and theory for accurate forecasts of outcomes

Woodside, Arch G. (ed.) - 2018 - First edition.

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012049479

Improving the marriage of modeling and theory for accurate forecasts of outcomes

Woodside, Arch G. (ed.) - 2018 - First edition.

Front Cover -- Improving the Marriage of Modeling and Theory for Accurate Forecasts of Outcomes -- Copyright Page … Most Articles -- Concluding Remarks: Readings and Constructing Theory away from the Shallows -- References -- Four … Complexity Theory -- Case-Based versus Variable-Based Theory Construction of Antecedents Explaining Firm Performance Outcomes …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012680647

Does Native Country Turmoil Predict Immigrant Workers’ Honesty in Markets?

Shohfi, Thomas; White, Roger M. - 2022

Does the onset of violent turmoil in an immigrant’s country of origin affect their honesty in economic exchange? We test this question using Egyptian cab drivers in NYC. Native country turmoil could increase demand for remittances or spur anger or anxiety, which could boost cheating, as both...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290027

The 2009 Recession : Predictable Effects on Health Expenditures, Employment and Inflation

Getzen, Thomas E. - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132496

Prediction with Differential Covariate Classification : Illustrated by Racial/Ethnic Classification in Medical Risk Assessment

Manski, Charles F.; Mullahy, John; Venkataramani, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2025

A common practice in evidence-based decision-making uses estimates of conditional probabilities P(y|x) obtained from research studies to predict outcomes y on the basis of observed covariates x. Given this information, decisions are then based on the predicted outcomes. Researchers commonly...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015194995

The Impact of Pandemic on Fertility in Russia : A Few Assumptions for the Forecast

Kazenin, Konstantin - 2021

The article contains a concise review of the research related to the impact of economic crises and pandemics on fertility in developed countries. The significance of the outcome of these studies is under consideration designed to forecast changes in fertility resulted from the pandemic in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013230257

Australia farewell : predictors of emigration in the 2000s

Burkhauser, Richard V.; Hahn, Markus; Hall, Matthew; … - 2016

The factors leading individuals to immigrate to developed nations are widely studied, but comparatively less is known about those who emigrate from them. In this paper, we use data from a nationally representative cohort of Australian adults to develop longitudinal measures of emigration and to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450204

Australia Farewell : Predictors of Emigration in the 2000s

Burkhauser, Richard V. - 2016

The factors leading individuals to immigrate to developed contexts are widely studied, but comparatively less is known about those who emigrate from them. In this paper, we use data from a nationally representative cohort of Australian adults to develop longitudinal measures of emigration and to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000087