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Chen and Deo (2009a) proposed procedures based on restricted maximum likelihood (REML) for estimation and inference in … the context of predictive regression. Their method achieves bias reduction in both estimation and inference which assists …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043159
This paper proposes a novel covariance estimator via a machine learning approach when both the sampling frequency and …, our method simultaneously provides a consistent estimation of these two components in a one-step procedure. Moreover, in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012867396
Many financial decisions, such as portfolio allocation, risk management, option pricing and hedge strategies, are based on forecasts of the conditional variances, covariances and correlations of financial returns. The paper shows an empirical comparison of several methods to predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025822
asymptotic normality for general MSMD specifications. We show that the Whittle estimation is a computationally simple and fast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010499581
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304
Forecasting volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer from many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011674479
estimation properties of the method and test its predictive power on S&P 500 option data, comparing it as well with other recent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108080
We develop a penalized two-pass regression with time-varying factor loadings. The penalization in the first pass enforces sparsity for the time-variation drivers while also maintaining compatibility with the no arbitrage restrictions by regularizing appropriate groups of coefficients. The second...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487589
This paper introduces a unified multivariate overnight GARCH-Ito model for volatility matrix estimation and prediction … weighted least squares estimation procedure for estimating model parameters with open-to-close high-frequency and close … the proposed estimation and prediction methods.The empirical analysis is carried out to compare the performance of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290653
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013282501