We document five novel empirical findings on the well-known potential ordering drawback associated with the time-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility developed by Cogley and Sargent (2005) and Primiceri (2005), CSP-SV. First, the ordering does not affect point...

DIE METHODISCHE GRUNDLEGUNG -- AUSGANGSBASIS: DIE BESTEHENDE ZINSSTRUKTURKURVE -- DIE ÄLTEREN THEORIEN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE GRUNDMODELLE DER ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE DETERMINISTISCHEN FAKTOREN ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE SUBSTITUTIVEN ARBITRAGEPROZESSE ZUR ZINSSTRUKTUR -- DIE STOCHASTISCHEN...

We propose several multivariate variance ratio statistics. We derive the asymptotic distribution of the statistics and scalar functions thereof under the null hypothesis that returns are unpredictable after a constant mean adjustment (i.e., under the Efficient Market Hypothesis). We do not...