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innovation lies in the integration of classical credibility theory with expected risk models, enhancing their stability and …Accurate risk assessment is crucial for predicting potential financial losses. This paper introduces an innovative … approach by employing expected risk models that utilize risk samples to capture comprehensive risk characteristics. The …
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risk model CreditRisk+. This allows exact risk aggregation via an efficient numerically stable Panjer recursion algorithm …. Furthermore, the model allows exact (without Monte Carlo simulation error) calculation of risk measures and their sensitivities … with respect to model parameters for P&L distributions such as value-at-risk and expected shortfall. Numerous examples …
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One of the main challenges for life actuaries is modeling and predicting the future mortality evolution. To this end, several stochastic mortality models have been proposed in literature, starting from the pivotal approach of the Lee-Carter model. These models essentially use the ARIMA processes...
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longevity risk. A focus of the discussion concerns how robust these models are relative to a variety of inputs: something that … is particularly important in formulating a risk management strategy. On the modeling front much still needs to be done on … robust multipopulation mortality models, and on the risk management front we need to develop a better understanding of what …
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