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A hypothesis of uncertain future was created and first applied in the field of utility and prospect theories. An …
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utility, given partial and differential information about payoff-relevant states of the world. A counterfactual prediction is …
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Vector autoregressions (VARs) are flexible time series models that can capture complex dynamic interrelationships among macroeconomic variables. However, their dense parameterization leads to unstable inference and inaccurate out-of-sample forecasts, particularly for models with many variables....
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utility given partial and differential information about payoff-relevant states of the world. A counterfactual prediction is …
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