mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …

mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …

This study sets out a backtesting framework applicable to the multi-period-ahead forecasts from stochastic mortality … models and uses it to evaluate the forecasting performance of six different stochastic mortality models applied to English … & Welsh male mortality data. The models considered are: Lee-Carter's 1992 one-factor model; a version of Renshaw …

mortality if and only if mortality risk is convex in forecast errors. We test for such convexity using data on the universe of … how people use advance information to reduce mortality from heat and cold. Theoretically, more accurate forecasts reduce … mortality events and weather forecasts for a twelve-year period in the U.S. Results show that erroneously mild forecasts …