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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013534202
- specifically, volatility clustering effectively captured by a GARCH model - this approach achieves global identification of shocks … while allowing for volatility spillovers across them. Findings reveal that increased variance in aggregate demand shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015143999
paper investigates the impact of EPU on the crude oil return volatility and which EPU index has the most forecasting power … the crude oil return volatility, but the effect is short-lived and the decay period is about one year. Particularly, our … results show that the US EPU index has the best forecasting power for crude oil return volatility over the long-term, whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040309
In this paper, an attempt has been made to model the volatility of NIFTY index of National Stock Exchange (NSE) and … comprises 3736 data points for the analysis by using Box-Jenkins or ARIMA model. The volatility in the Indian stock market … suggested by Hannan-Rissanen. As per the analysis, ARIMA (1,0,1) model was found to be the best fit to forecast the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001574
market uncertainty and volatility of the investment instruments. Thus, the prediction of the uncertainty and volatilities of … to identify the best fit model that can predict the volatility of return of Bitcoin, which is in high demand as an … the residuals of the average equation model selected have ARCH effect. Volatility of Bitcoin return series after detection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014382180
frequency volatilities and correlations ; Dynamic conditional correlation ; Spline-GARCH ; Idiosyncratic volatility ; Long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003821063
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011982519
Based on data until the mid 2000s, oil price changes were shown to predict international equity index returns with a negative predictive slope. Extending the sample to 2015, we document that this relationship has been reversed over the last ten years and therefore has not been stable over time....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935742
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