Price movements in industrial metals such as copper and aluminum predict stock returns. Increasing industrial metal prices are good news for equity markets in recessions and bad news in expansions. A one standard deviation increase in industrial metal returns predicts a price drop of one and a...

A substantial amount is incurred in ETF transaction costs each year. This paper examines the performance of a vector autoregressive (VAR) model and other naïve models to time trades in 1,350 ETFs over the 2011 to 2017 period. We find varied spread savings for large and retail ETF traders by...

This study exploits information contained in high frequency sample data by computing higher realized moments of individual firms in the emerging stock market of Pakistan. Furthermore, the relation of higher moments with future stock returns is examined by constructing decile portfolios based on...