Showing 1 - 10 of 39
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001480588
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001492671
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000137110
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001971275
Baumeister and Kilian (2015) combine forecasts from six empirical models to predict real oil prices. In this paper, we broadly reproduce their main economic findings, employing their preferred measures of the real oil price and similar real-time variables. Mindful of the importance of Brent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012913309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014390295
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014438464
This paper argues that probability forecasts convey information on the uncertainties that surround macroeconomic forecasts in a manner which is straightforward and which is preferable to other alternatives, including the use of confidence intervals. Probability forecasts relating to UK output...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001539419
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009266773
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416858