the most relevant recent developments in this field of economic forecasting. To begin with, we analyze the problem of … resulting leading indicator based forecasts, and review the recent literature on the forecasting performance of leading …

to forecasting area-wide industrial production. To this end, we use various tests that are designed to compare competing …

the beginning of 2018. They also have performed well in forecasting the direction of inflation. In terms of the …

forecasting solutions. In this context, the paper develops new forecasting methods for an old problem by employing 13 machine … important variable. GDP per capita and consumer inflation have increased in prominence whereas debt-to-GDP, stock market and …

input to forecasting real US. GDP and the unemployment rate. These time series have been addressed before, but our results …We test and report on time series modelling and forecasting using several US. Leading economic indicators (LEI) as an …-studied macroeconomic series, US. real GDP and the unemployment rate. The Autometrics system substantially reduces regression sum of squares …