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We conduct a pseudo real-time analysis of the existence and severity of speculative bubbles in eleven US sectors over the period 1973-2015. Based on the real-time bubble signals, a trading strategy is constructed which switches funds between the market index and those industry sectors that...
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About 99 percent of cryptocurrency trades occur on organised exchanges and many investors subsequently keep their digital assets in accounts with cryptocurrency markets. This generates exposure to the risk of exchange closures. We construct a database containing eight key characteristics on 238...
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We employ forty-seven different algorithms to forecast Australian log real house prices and growth rates, and compare their ability to produce accurate out-of-sample predictions. The algorithms, which are specified in both single- and multi-equation frameworks, consist of traditional time-series...
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We build forecasting models to predict second-hand car prices capable of predicting multiple car makes and models. Using a total of 141 car attributes we fit 15 machine learning models and rank their ability to accurately predict used automobile prices according to two performance criteria. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014263003
Despite the fact that many aggregates are nonlinear functions and the aggregation weights of many macroeconomic aggregates are time-varying, much of the literature on forecasting aggregates considers the case of linear aggregates with fixed, time-invariant aggregation weights. In this study a...
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