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predictors, where robust stands for the use of mixtures of proper conjugate priors. Concerning dynamic analysis, volatility …
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density of logreturns. Our proposed approach originates from the Bayesian approach to parameter estimation and time series … forecasting, however it is robust in the sense that it provides a more accurate estimation of the predictive density in the region …. This quasi-Bayesian approach yields more precise parameter estimation than a fully censored posterior for all parameters …
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The paper develops a novel realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility model of multivariate returns and realized …’s seminal work in terms of the estimation of highly non-linear model specifications ("Causality tests and observationally …. The volatility and co-volatility spillovers are examined via the news impact curves and the impulse response functions …
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This chapter reviews Bayesian methods for inference and forecasting with VAR models. Bayesian inference and, by extension, forecasting depends on numerical methods for simulating from the posterior distribution of the parameters and special attention is given to the implementation of the...
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Many recent modelling advances in finance topics ranging from the pricing of volatility-based derivative products to … number of recent papers have addressed volatility predictability, some from the perspective of the usefulness of jumps in … forecasting volatility. Key papers in this area include Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), Corsi (2004), Andersen …
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