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Labor market forecasting in unprecedented times : a machine learning approach

Orozco-Castañeda, Johanna M.; Sierra, Lya Paola; Vidal … - In: Bulletin of economic research 76 (2024) 4, pp. 893-915

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015133087

Labour market expectations and unemployment in Europe

Blanchflower, David G.; Bryson, Alex - 2023

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013540387

Can Offshore Markets Beat Random Walk? An Evaluation of the Out-of-Sample RMB Exchange Rate Predictability

Chen, Sichong - 2016

This study evaluates the in-sample and out-of-sample RMB exchange rate forecasting with a predictor of CNH-CNY pricing differential. Despite significant evidence of in-sample fit of conditional models at short horizons, we find that RMB exchange rate forecasts based on CNH-CNY spreads do not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012989017

Probabilistic access forecasting for improved offshore operations

Gilbert, Ciaran; Browell, Jethro; McMillan, David - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 1, pp. 134-150

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012692675

Chapter 2. The MONASH Style of Computable General Equilibrium Modeling: A Framework for Practical Policy Analysis

Dixon, Peter B.; Koopman, Robert B.; Rimmer, Maureen T. - In: Handbook of computable general equilibrium modeling : …, (pp. 23-103). 2013

MONASH models are descended from Johansen's 1960 model of Norway. The first MONASH model was ORANI, used in Australia's tariff debate of the 1970s. Johansen's influence combined with institutional arrangements in their development gave MONASH models distinctive characteristics, facilitating a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025289

Estimating Trade Equations from Aggregate Bilateral Data

Bayoumi, Tamim A. - 2021

This paper uses bilateral data on 420 merchandise trade flows between 21 industrial countries are used to estimate standard trade equations. The data set of over 11,000 observations allows the underlying elasticities to be estimated with considerable precision. Remarkably, a single specification...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013317692