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assessed using statistical and utility-based performance measures for evaluating density forecasts of US macroeconomic time …
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assessed using statistical and utility-based performance measures for evaluating density forecasts of US macroeconomic time …
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In this paper, we propose a likelihood ratio and Markov chain based method to evaluate density forecasting. This method can jointly evaluate the unconditional forecasted distribution and dependence of the outcomes. This method is an extension of the widely applied evaluation method for interval...
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incomplete, meaning that all models are individually misspecified. The approach is assessed using statistical and utility …
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