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The demographic transition is a phenomenon affecting many industrialized societies. These economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts social security systems under severe pressure. To implement appropriate reform measures, adequate...
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When the future evolution of demographic processes is described in a stochastic setting, the challenge is to communicate the meaning of forecast uncertainty in an understandable way, to decision makers and public at large. For the purpose of risk communication, a formal setting is developed, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013419096
non-agricultural category, the rate of extension of postelementary education, and the rate of increase in the number of … 20.4% in 2025 and 16.3% in 2050. The education gap between Poland and the European Community, large in 1997, is forecast …
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estimates the long-run effects for Swiss GDP growth and its components in an Overlapping Generations Model (OLG model). Recent … economic growth in both absolute and per capita terms. According to our simulations, this would primarily affect the income of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012205397
Increasing retirement ages in an automatic or scheduled way with increasing life expectancy at retirement is a popular pension policy response to continuous longevity improvements. The question addressed here is: to what extent is simply adopting this approach likely to fulfill the overall goals...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597036
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Industrialised economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts social security systems under severe pressure. Population ageing is associated not only with longer periods of pension claims but also smaller cohorts eventually entering the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186784