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On the use of projection methods in the computation of OLG models

Heer, Burkhard; Trede, Mark - In: Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik (2000) 1, pp. 32-47

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001451520

Forecasting the old-age dependency ratio to determine a sustainable pension age

Hyndman, Rob J.; Zeng, Yijun; Shang, Han Lin - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610521

Automatic indexation of the pension age to life expectancy : when policy design matters

Ayuso, Mercedes; Holzmann, Robert; Holzmann, Robert; … - In: Risks : open access journal 9 (2021) 5, pp. 1-28

Increasing retirement ages in an automatic or scheduled way with increasing life expectancy at retirement is a popular pension policy response to continuous longevity improvements. The question addressed here is: to what extent is simply adopting this approach likely to fulfill the overall goals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597036

Addressing the life expectancy gap in pension policy

Bravo, Jorge Miguel Ventura; Ayuso, Mercedes; Holzmann, … - In: Insurance / Mathematics & economics 99 (2021), pp. 200-221

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649227

Analysis and forecasting of social security: a study of robustness

Westlund, Anders H.; Ermolieva, Tatiana; MacKellar, … - In: Financial modelling : with 74 tables : [a selection of …, (pp. 401-427). 2000

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001485064

Population ageing and future demand for old-age and disability pensions in Germany : a probabilistic approach

Vanella, Patrizio; Gonzalez, Miguel Rodriguez; Wilke, … - In: Comparative population studies : CPoS ; open acess … 47 (2022), pp. 87-118

Industrialised economies are experiencing a decline in mortality alongside low fertility rates - a situation that puts … social security systems under severe pressure. Population ageing is associated not only with longer periods of pension claims …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186784

Using the pension multiple to measure retirement outcomes

Minney, Aaron; Zhu, Zili; Guo, Ying; Li, Jiaming; … - In: Finance research letters 49 (2022), pp. 1-8

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013479606

Actuarial fairness when longevity increases : an evaluation of the Italian pension system

Belloni, Michele; Maccheroni, Carlo - In: The Geneva papers on risk and insurance - issues and … 38 (2013) 4, pp. 638-674

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206710

Inefficiency in Social Security Trust Funds Forecasts

Lahiri, Kajal; Zhang, Junyan; Zhao, Yongchen - 2021

We examine forecast accuracy and efficiency of the Social Security Administration’s projections for cost rate, trust fund balance, trust fund ratio made during 1980-2020 with horizons up to 95 years. We find that the reported deterioration in the accuracy of the forecasts during 2010’s has...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313449

Demographic change in Switzerland : impacts on economic growth in an Overlapping Generations Model

Hauser, Luisa-Marie; Schlag, Carsten-Henning; Wolf, André - 2020

respect to the demographic assumptions, simulations were undertaken for a range of alternative scenarios concerning fertility … the middle-aged age groups. Likewise, the process of ageing would have consequences for the composition of Swiss GDP: the … sensitivity analysis reveals that more favourable assumptions concerning future net immigration, fertility and labor market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012205397