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This paper presents and discusses the estimates of the present value of corporate profits in the United States from 1984 to 2018. To value the expected income stream, it uses the long-range forecasts of professional forecasters for pre-tax corporate earnings and long-term Treasury note yields,...
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Customer momentum refers to the ability of customer returns to predict suppliers returns. I show that this momentum in returns is related to momentum in economic primitives, and specifically in operating profits. In fact, given that accounting information is more gradually incorporated into...
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Empirical evidence on the out-of-sample performance of asset-pricing anomalies is mixed so far and arguably is often subject to data-snooping bias. This paper proposes a method that can significantly reduce this bias. Specifically, we consider a long-only strategy that involves only published...
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estimated. Using the full rainfall distribution and our profit function estimates, we find that Indian farmers on average under … expected profits. Farmers who use skilled forecasts have increased average profit levels but also have more variable profits …
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valuation. In our empirical application, we use 𝑄 to relate analyst forecasts to stock returns and measure the profitability of …
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