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This paper provides a comprehensive statistical and economic evidence on the forecasting power of local-currency equity and bond returns in predicting exchange rate returns. We first construct out-of-sample (OOS) forecasts using various model specifications of equity and bond returns, and assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239119
We provide an in-depth analysis of the predictive ability of models with fundamentals and technical indicators for fourteen emerging market currencies. Our findings suggest that the forecasts from the symmetric Taylor rule as well as from a predictive regression exploiting the informational...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898584