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We critically review the state of the art in macro stress testing, assessing its strengths and weaknesses. We argue that, given current technology, macro stress tests are ill-suited as early warning devices, ie as tools for identifying vulnerabilities during seemingly tranquil times and for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013066619
predict fraud. Avoiding the 5% of firms with the highest ex ante predicted fraud risk would allow an investor to avoid 29% of … fraud risk through superior performance or lower fees. We examine the barriers to implementing fraud prediction models and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013125592
. The paper finds that risk models such as ratings are exposed to a large degree of systematic risk and parameter … able to produce ranges for risk measures consistent with realized losses. This explains how financial markets were taken by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034810
​We aim to assess how accurately accounting and stock market indicators predict rating changes for Asian banks. We conduct a stepwise process to determine the optimal set of early indicators by tracing upgrades and downgrades from rating agencies, as well as other relevant factors. Our results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013104247
conduct an econometric analysis of the driving factors of banks’ asset encumbrance, highlighting the relevance of credit risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012617772
We analyze the determinants of individual bank failures arising from solvency and liquidity shortages in a stylized banking system following Krause and Giansante (2012) where banks are characterized by the amount of capital, cash reserves and their exposure to the interbank loan market as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013309573
The current financial crisis offers a unique opportunity to investigate the leading properties of market indicators in a stressed environment and their usefulness from a banking supervision perspective. One pool of relevant information that has been little explored in the empirical literature is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014187825
In January 2007 the International Monetary Fund (IMF) published, on an ad hoc basis, a series of financial soundness indicators (FSIs) based on a common methodology (the IMF compilation Guide) for 62 countries, including all 27 European Union countries. The European Central Bank (ECB), jointly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011639817
Finnish payment methods have changed rapidly as payment cards have gained increasing popularity and have, to an extent, replaced cash. This article examines this phenomenon and the trends in cash and electronic payment methods in Finland. It starts with an introduction to the statistical data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014062756
Finnish payment methods have changed rapidly as payment cards have gained increasing popularity and have, to an extent, replaced cash.This article examines this phenomenon and the trends in cash and electronic payment methods in Finland.It starts with an introduction to the statistical data on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012933203