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The last three decades brought mounting evidence regarding the cross-sectional predictability of country equity returns. The studies not only documented country-level counterparts of well-established stock-level anomalies, such as size, value, or momentum, but also demonstrated some unique...
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This study aims to offer a new explanation for the momentum effect in international government bonds. Using cross-sectional and time-series tests, we examine a sample of bonds from 22 countries for the years 1980 through 2018. We document significant momentum profits that are not attributable to...
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We examine the effect of realized skewness on Chinese stock returns. We construct realized skewness by using intraday data at a monthly horizon. Our study finds a significant negative relation between realized skewness and future stock returns in both portfolio analyses and cross-sectional...
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We examine return predictability with machine learning in 46 international stock markets. We calculate 148 stock characteristics and use them to feed a repertoire of different models. The algorithms extract predictability mainly from simple, yet popular, factor types—such as momentum,...
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We demonstrate a strong relationship between short-term small-firm premium and future low-beta anomaly performance. Rises (declines) in small firm prices temporarily improve (deteriorate) funding conditions, benefiting (impairing) the short-run returns on the low-beta strategy. To investigate...
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