The business press generally reports news in quarterly earnings announcements based on the difference between actual earnings and two salient benchmarks: earnings of the same quarter in the previous year, and a consensus drawn from a distribution of forecasts by financial analysts. We evaluate...

Over the past 12 years, financial analysts across the world have been optimistically wrong with their 12-month earnings forecasts by 25.3%. This study may be the first of its kind to assess analyst earnings forecast accuracy at all listed companies across the globe, covering 70 countries. A...

This study examines individual analyst forecast revisions of annual earnings to provide insight into “walkdown” behavior, in which analyst forecasts begin optimistic and walkdown over time to be pessimistic before the earnings announcement. We examine revisions of individual analyst...

This paper develops and tests a simultaneous equations model (SEM) for extending accounting based valuation models used in empirical studies. To calculate the ‘other information' variable in the Ohlson (1995) model, we derive forecasts of operating income from the SEM, rather than using...

In this study, we examine the effect of accrual-based earnings management on the association between managers' earnings forecast errors and accruals, which we label “managers' accrual-related forecast bias.” We build on extensive research which finds that managers engage in accrual-based...

We investigate whether a firm's market power within its product market affects management sales forecast behavior. Our examination of the relation between market power and management sales forecasts is motivated by the notion that sales forecasts differ from other types of forecasts because...

The purpose of this paper is to study the impact of beating analysts' forecasts and the impact of analysts' forecast dispersion on the pricing of firms' credit default swaps (CDSs). CDS premium is the compensation required by investors for bearing firms' credit default risk. Sell-side analysts...