fnancial institutions. We show that the 10-year Treasury yield's forward-looking volatility, a VIX-style measure that is a … volatility of crude oil prices over the near term. Using monthly data from 2003 to 2020, we document that higher implied … volatility in the 10-year U.S. Treasury derivatives market predicts declining oil prices and higher forward-looking volatility in …

We present a new option-pricing model, which explicitly captures the difference in the persistence of volatility under … Stochastic Volatility models have the best forecasting performance …

This article proposes a simple and intuitive framework to combine a discrete volatility forecast series produced by a …-combining binomial trees that capture the distributional properties of the volatility forecasts. Finally, the framework is employed to …

We apply a two-step strategy to forecast the dynamics of the volatility surface implicit in option prices to all …-post volatility of the minimum-variance portfolio is lower when compared with the equal-weighted portfolio and a minimum …

The implied volatility from Black and Scholes (1973) model has been empirically tested for the forecasting performance … of future volatility and commonly shown to be biased. Based on the belief that the implied volatility from option prices … is the best estimate of future volatility, this study tries to find out a better model, which can derive the implied …

&P 500 and VIX maturities. A one-factor Markovian stochastic local volatility model is shown to fit both smiles and VIX … futures within bid-ask spreads. The joint calibration actually makes it a pure path-dependent volatility model, confirming the …