For the major foreign exchange rates, it is found that the optimal modelling frequency of volatility is weekly for forecast horizons ranging from 1 week up to 1 month. Autoregressive modelling is based on realized volatility measures computed from 30 min returns

Recent advances in financial econometrics have allowed for the construction of efficient ex post measures of daily volatility. This paper investigates the importance of instability in models of realised volatility and their corresponding forecasts. Testing for model instability is conducted with...

Generating one-month-ahead systematic (beta) risk forecasts is common place in financial management. This paper evaluates the accuracy of these beta forecasts in three return measurement settings; monthly, daily and 30 minutes. It is found that the popular Fama-MacBeth beta from 5 years of...