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This article proposes a simple and intuitive framework to combine a discrete volatility forecast series produced by a …-combining binomial trees that capture the distributional properties of the volatility forecasts. Finally, the framework is employed to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021590
We propose a new variational approximation of the joint posterior distribution of the log-volatility in the context of … proposed methodology with an application of a 96-variable VAR with stochastic volatility to measure global bank network …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014351940
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015196887
Recent empirical studies report predictable dynamics in the volatility surfaces implied by observed index option prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150628
for the implied volatility surface of S&P500 index options data. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015408437
-varying parameter vector autoregression with stochastic volatility developed by Cogley and Sargent (2005) and Primiceri (2005), CSP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014048674
volatility description and forecasting performances. A set of three major asynchronous international stock market indices is used …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971773
gap inflation persistence to a UC model that already has stochastic volatility (SV) afflicting trend and gap inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946951
In this paper, we provide evidence that fat tails and stochastic volatility can be important in improving in-sample fit … rates and stock returns. In terms of in-sample fit, the VAR model featuring both stochastic volatility and t … accounting for both stochastic volatility and Student's t-distributed disturbances may lead to improved forecast accuracy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013021982
section compares stochastic volatility models with GARCH. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023699