This study explores whether meeting or beating management forecasts is indicative of managerial talent. We find that the market reacts positively when firms meet or beat their management forecasts after controlling for meeting or beating analyst forecasts and management forecast errors. Further...

We examine REIT short sale transactions and show REITs are shorted less frequently than non-REITs. Results also show short sellers are less able to predict negative future returns for REITs, relative to non-REITs, which is consistent with increased pricing efficiency for REITs and suggests REIT...

This paper develops a text-based downside risk measure using corporate annual reports and assesses its ability to forecast future corporate policies. The forward-looking measure dynamically captures adverse firm conditions evolving from economic fundamentals. When the measure is below its sample...