The new impairment reporting standards require banks to move from incurred loss models to sophisticated macroeconomic based expected credit loss models for current impairment estimation. While the impairments estimation is mainly focused on business as usual macroeconomic projections there is a...

We investigate the impact of conditional conservation on the ability of accruals and its components to predict future cash flows. We first demonstrate that conditional conservatism has increased over the period from 1988 to 2013 due to an increase in timely loss recognition and asymmetric timely...

The capturing of tail events, especially those that incur severe loss at rare chance, is one of the important objectives for modern risk analysis. However past behavior in financial data is not necessarily a correct reflection of the possible scenarios in the future. The economic turmoils in the...