We find that the salience distortions of past fundamental information significantly predict future analyst forecast errors in both Chinese and U.S. markets. Fundamental salience is more potent in distorting long-term beliefs. Predictable forecast errors are more pronounced in firms with opaque...

This paper investigates how to improve prediction accuracy of stock realized volatility using a large set of predictors. Exploiting normalized positive adjusted R-square and significant t statistic of predictor obtained from the in-sample result as weight, we develop two simple and effective...