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This chapter develops a unified modeling framework for analyzing the strategic behavior of forecasters. The theoretical model encompasses reputational objectives, competition for the best accuracy, and bias. Also drawing from the extensive literature on analysts, we review the empirical evidence...
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intense herding state are 0.26% lower per month over a six-month holding period than following an adverse herding state. Our … results are robust to using risk-adjusted returns and a continuous herding variable. Intense herding emerges during periods of … lower returns and higher volatility than adverse herding …
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