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Vote self-prediction hardly predicts who will vote, and is (misleadingly) unbiased

Rogers, Todd; Aida, Masa - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009736903

The wisdom of crowds : applying Condorcet's jury theorem to forecasting US presidential elections

Murr, Andreas E. - In: International journal of forecasting 31 (2015) 3, pp. 916-929

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011474728

Biased forecasts to affect voting decisions? : the Brexit case

Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2019

influence voting outcomes. We develop a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the … forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and influence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011990008

Biased forecasts to affect voting decisions? : the Brexit case

Cipullo, Davide; Reslow, André - 2019

uence voting outcomes. We develop a probabilistic voting model in which voters do not have complete information about the … forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and in uence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011984037

How they lost the presidency

Walker, David - In: Applied economics 50 (2018) 38, pp. 4113-4121

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012060709

Testing the Predictions of the Multidimensional Spatial Voting Model with Roll Call Data

Jeong, Gyung-Ho - 2010

the predictions of the spatial voting model. I illustrate this procedure by testing the predictive power of the uncovered … set - a solution concept of the multidimensional spatial voting model - using roll call data from the U.S. Senate. Since …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013151483

Legislating stock prices

Cohen, Lauren; Diether, Karl; Malloy, Christopher - In: Journal of financial economics 110 (2013) 3, pp. 574-595

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010255192

Real-time revenue and firm disclosure

Blankespoor, Elizabeth; Hendricks, Bradley E.; … - In: Review of accounting studies 27 (2022) 3, pp. 1079-1116

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013457417

The Impacts of Product Market Competition on the Quantity and Quality of Voluntary Disclosures

Li, Xi - 2016

This study examines how firms' voluntary disclosure decisions are influenced by product market competition. Using separate measures to capture different dimensions of competition, I show that competition from potential entrants increases disclosure quantity while competition from existing rivals...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014191581

The Interpretation of Unanticipated News Arrival and Analysts’ Skill

Rubin, Amir - 2015

Analysts' functions are divided into discovery and interpretation roles, but separating between the two is non-trivial. We conjecture that analysts' interpretation skill can be gauged by their forecast revisions following material unanticipated news — in particular following non-earnings 8-K...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035617