Showing 1 - 10 of 17,296
This paper uses a modification of the Random Forest classification algorithm to predict insolvency of insurers. RF orders companies according to their propensity to default. We show that RF methodology delivers higher quality of prediction compared to other existing methods. In addition, RF...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034600
This article explores the capacity of self-organizing maps (SOMs) for analysing non-life insurance data. Contrary to … reduces by this way the collinearity bias. However, the specific features of insurance data require adapting the classic SOM …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012930621
Effective agricultural insurance and risk management program rely on accurate crop yield forecasting. In this paper, we … propose a novel deep factor model for crop yield forecasting and crop insurance ratemaking. This framework first utilizes a …-of-sample crop insurance rating game between a private insurer and the government, we show that the proposed deep factor model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348805
uniquely prescribe the metric for risk adjustment, we expect that VaR will be widely applied by insurance firms. Overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014225942
Can measured risk attitudes and associated structural models predict insurance demand? In an experiment (n = 1,730), we … parameterize seventeen common structural models (e.g., expected utility, cumulative prospect theory). Subjects also make twelve … insurance choices over different loss probabilities and prices. The insurance choices show coherence and some correlation with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012480452
Can measured risk attitudes and associated structural models predict insurance demand? In an experiment (n = 1,730), we … parameterize seventeen common structural models (e.g., expected utility, cumulative prospect theory). Subjects also make twelve … insurance choices over different loss probabilities and prices. The insurance choices show coherence and some correlation with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013312498
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014545476
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015075032
synthesis of ideas from finance and macroeconomics offers several original contributions to the theory of financial crises, as …, MACROECONOMICS, AND RISK CONCEPTS -- 2 An Overview of Macroeconomics, and Why the Theory of Asset Pricing and Contingent Claims …-pricing theory, financial derivatives pricing, and contingent claims analysis -- 2.5 Autoregression in economics vs. random walks in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012689065
In the literature, there is no consensus as to which Value-at-Risk forecasting model is the best for measuring market risk in banks. In the study an analysis of Value-at-Risk forecasting model quality over varying economic stability periods for main indices from stock exchanges was conducted....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967246