Inflation expectation is acknowledged to be an important indicator for policy makers and financial investors. To … capture a more accurate real-time estimate of inflation expectation on the basis of financial markets, we propose an arbitrage …-free model across different countries in a multi-maturity term structure, where we first estimate inflation expectation by …

This document proposes a general macroeconomic framework to analyze the behavior of inflation. This approach has two … price level. When all shocks have a permanent impact, the regime determines the inflation rate, as in inflation targeting … cause the rate of inflation or the price level. With this, a new perspective on four different historical cases emerges. One …

The main aim of this paper is to provide forecast intervals for inflation and unemployment rate in Romania, bringing …

significantly in 2021. Inflation jumped to levels not seen for 40 years in the EU. Our study aims to use artificial intelligence to … forecast inflation. We also use artificial intelligence to forecast stock index changes. Based on the forecasts, we propose … portfolio reallocation decisions to protect against inflation. The forecasting literature does not address the importance of …