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-- Chapter 5 Bond valuation -- Chapter 6 Yield curves -- Chapter 7 Term structure models -- Chapter 8 Real estate market …, dividend ratio model, yield curve and term structure, all of which are concepts used to analyse pricing and other behaviour in …
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-August 2020, the other from the ECB reporting average monthly values over the period January 1900-August 2020. The estimation …
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implements the yield curve differentials between EUR and the US as exogenous factors. Functional principal component analysis … allows us to use the information of basically the whole yield curve in a parsimonious way for exchange rate risk prediction …. The data analyzed in our empirical study consist of the EURUSD exchange rate and the EUR- and US-yield curves from 15 …
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We show that the difference between the natural rate of interest and the current level of monetary policy stance, which we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises...
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