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probability distribution of forecasting errors are needed in order to draw confidence bands around point forecasts. This paper … the uncertainty around the model’s parameters and the structural errors term to construct asymmetric confidence bands … the OECD Indicator Model for Germany. The empirical probability distributions of the GDP growth forecasts, derived through …
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model’s routines are enhanced with additional adjustments to the EU-SILC based input data in order to capture changes in the …
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