Population size and structure in conjunction with the participation behavior are the determinants of labor supply. Thereby, among the demographic components, migration is the one shaping both the size and the structure of a population the strongest in the short to medium term while...

In this paper, we propose a multi-period ordinal logistic regression model for credit rating transition probabilities. This is a natural choice since credit rating can be viewed as categories with natural order which is related with quantitatively measured credit score. A classical static...

Finanzmathematische und demographische Methoden werden präsentiert, um den Einfluß von Wanderungen auf die langfristige Bevölkerungsentwicklung zu präsentieren. Finanzmathematische Methoden berücksichtigen nicht die Altersstruktur einer Bevölkerung und können daher nur als Approximation...

This book addresses from a methodological perspective a research problem, how to forecast the international migration component in a way that could be then used for population forecasts using the probabilistic approach. All forecasts are made in the conditions of uncertainty, which is an...