Showing 1 - 10 of 41
Short memory models contaminated by level shifts have similar long-memory features as fractionally integrated processes. This makes it hard to verify whether the true data generating process is a pure fractionally integrated process when employing standard estimation methods based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011287069
This paper investigates the degree of persistence of market fear. Specifically, two different long-memory approaches (R/S analysis with the Hurst exponent method and fractional integration) are used to analyse persistence of the VIX index over the sample period 2004-2016, as well as some...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011664417
It is well known that standard tests for a mean shift are invalid in long-range dependent time series. Therefore, several long memory robust extensions of standard testing principles for a change-in-mean have been proposed in the literature. These can be divided into two groups: those that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011667075
This paper investigates persistence in financial time series at three different frequencies (daily, weekly and monthly). The analysis is carried out for various financial markets (stock markets, FOREX, commodity markets) over the period from 2000 to 2016 using two different long memory...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011619594
We propose a simple test on structural change in long-range dependent time series. It is based on the idea that the test statistic of the standard CUSUM test retains its asymptotic distribution if it is applied to fractionally differenced data. We prove that our approach is asymptotically valid...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011655296
We propose a family of self-normalized CUSUM tests for structural change under long memory. The test statistics apply non-parametric kernel-based fixed-b and fixed-m long-run variance estimators and have well-defined limiting distributions that only depend on the long-memory parameter. A Monte...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011957769
This paper examines the relationship between unemployment, real oil price and real interest rates in Canada. Instead of following the classical approach based on I(0) stationarity or I(1) cointegrating relationships, we use fractional integration/cointegration techniques which allow for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010310351
This paper examines the possibility of unit roots in the presence of endogenously determined multiple structural breaks in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the procedure of Gil-Alana (2008) for single structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010320532
This paper examines the possibility of unit roots in the presence of endogenously determined multiple structural breaks in the total, female and male labour force participation rates (LFPR) for Australia, Canada and the USA. We extend the procedure of Gil-Alana (2008) for single structural break...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010500194
Short memory models contaminated by level shifts have similar long-memory features as fractionally integrated processes. This makes it hard to verify whether the true data generating process is a pure fractionally integrated process when employing standard estimation methods based on the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445294