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Motivated by recent examples of collective effort on the war on terror, we examine the incentives that retaliation may …-specific benefits from retaliation enjoyed by each coalition member, the relatively lower spillover benefit from retaliation enjoyed by … the anticipated backlash from retaliation, which targets coalition members only. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013171770
This chapter surveys the past applications of game theory to the study of terrorism. By capturing the strategic … interplay between terrorists and targeted governments, game theory is an appropriate methodology for investigating terrorism and … indicates novel directions for applying game theory to terrorism-related issues (e.g., cooperative collectives to strengthen …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024404
In Rome, on 16 March 1978, the Red Brigades kidnapped Aldo Moro. They kept him a prisoner for 55 days, and ultimately killed him. Why did they decide to kill Moro since it appears a posteriori that they did not improve their situation by doing so? Our paper answers this question by building...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000427
challenged when it comes to making predictions about terrorism. To do so, I consider a model of continuous-time conflict between … not associated with a higher risk of terrorism. This paper supports the critics of offense-defense theory, and provides … insights into understanding when terrorism occurs …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013221797
We develop a sequentially variant Blotto game with one-sided and incomplete information to investigate strategic interactions between a defender and an attacker whose target site values are unknown. The defender first allocates defensive resources before the attacker decides a probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015419337
current policy choice. Deviating from (exogenous) traditional party policy reduces the credibility of a party in the eyes of … voters of both parties. They get either desensitised or over-sensitised in respect to party credibility which alters the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011441433
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002071407
This paper examines theory and behavior in a two-player game of siege, sequential attack and defense. The attacker’s objective is to successfully win at least one battle while the defender’s objective is to win every battle. Theoretically, the defender either folds immediately or, if his...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014186324
In the literature the outcome of contests is either interpreted as win probabilities or as shares of the prize. With this in mind, we examine two approaches to contest success functions. In the first we analyze the implications of contestants' incomplete information concerning the 'type' of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014217464
We use a Tullock-type contest to show that intuitively and structurally different contests can be strategically equivalent. Strategically equivalent contests generate the same best response functions and, as a result, the same efforts. Two strategically equivalent contests, however, may yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014164442