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This essay links some of my own work on expectations, learning and bounded rationality to the inspiring ideas of Jean …-Michel Grandmont. In particular, my work on consistent expectations and behavioral learning equilibria may be seen as formalizations of …
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example, we discuss a behavioral asset pricing model with heterogeneous expectations. Bubble and crash dynamics is triggered …, showing that in positive feedback systems individuals coordinate expectations on non-rational, almost self …
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We apply the dynamic stochastic framework proposed by recent evolutionaryliterature to the class of strict supermodular games when two simplebehavior rules coexist in the population, imitation and myopic optimization.We assume that myopic optimizers are able to see how well their payoff...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011302143
expectations solutions. From this he concludes the need for agents to use boundedly rational rules. This note shows that in a large …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487597
We study how subjects in an experiment use different forms of public information about their opponents' past behavior. In the absence of public information, subjects appear to use rather detailed statistics summarizing their private experiences. If they have additional public information, they...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011437784
This paper studies the reliability of financial reporting when the credibility of the manager, represented by his misreporting propensity, is unknown. We show that credibility concerns affect the time-series of reported earnings, book values, and stock prices in ways that seem consistent with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646596
It has been argued that guilt aversion (the aversion to violate others' expectations) and the compliance to descriptive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011825251
We study the design of monitoring in dynamic settings with moral hazard. An agent (e.g. a firm) benefits from reputation for quality, and a principal (e.g. a regulator) can learn the agent's quality via costly inspections. Monitoring plays two roles: an incentive role, because outcomes of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011865082